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Game Forecast · First Pitch 7:15 PM ET

Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

StatVane Editorial: No Qualified Wager for Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

CIN

Away

Cincinnati Reds

at
STL

Home

St. Louis Cardinals

Busch StadiumStatvane matchup

No betMixed evidenceDeterministic fallback

StatVane Editorial: No Qualified Wager for Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

Market
Moneyline
Selection
St. Louis Cardinals
Frozen price
-112 · fanduel
Model
53.3%
No-vig market
50.9%
EV / unit
+0.0097

NO BET: No market met the deterministic qualification requirements in the frozen pregame snapshot.

The deterministic decision is NO BET. Moneyline selection: St. Louis Cardinals. Frozen price: -112 at fanduel; retrieved 2026-07-25T18:09:34.955Z. Model probability: 53.3%. No-vig market probability: 50.9%. Model edge versus the no-vig market: 2.5 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: 0.0097.

Cincinnati Reds probable starter: Hunter Greene. St. Louis Cardinals probable starter: Andre Pallante.

Cincinnati Reds recent 10-game sample: 4.30 runs scored and 4.60 runs allowed per game. St. Louis Cardinals recent 10-game sample: 3.40 runs scored and 4.40 runs allowed per game.

Bullpen condition is not modeled yet - LineLab has no reliever-usage feed, so no bullpen claim is made.

Venue: Busch Stadium; roof: Open. Weather snapshot: 33.4 C, 4.6 km/h wind, cross wind (3B side), 1% precipitation probability.

Moneyline selection: St. Louis Cardinals. Frozen price: -112 at fanduel; retrieved 2026-07-25T18:09:34.955Z.

Uncertainty and missing evidence

The correct deterministic action is NO BET.

Fact provenance

Frozen forecast 9e7332b8980a · snapshot 2026-07-25T18:09:37.475Z · prompt mlb-game-editorial-v5-closed-plan · schema 3.

Odds snapshot 69ddeac7-6b93-4c1f-97a0-a7687e7a3f63 · retrieved 2026-07-25T18:09:34.955Z · US-region quote — not Ontario-specific; Ontario lines at the same book may differ.

One complete game-specific analysis is public. A verified free account unlocks the other two immutable market projections without changing this published selection.Unlock all three markets
Official result

Game result and prediction grades

The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.

Final

Cincinnati Reds
0
St. Louis Cardinals
7

Settled Jul 26, 5:51 AM ET · MLB Advanced Media

  • MoneylineWon

    St. Louis Cardinals

    Published price
    -112
    Sportsbook
    fanduel
    Model probability
    53.3%

    Graded against the official final score · Jul 26, 5:51 AM ET · source mlb-statsapi