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Game Forecast · First Pitch 7:10 PM ET

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers

StatVane Editorial: Over Preferred for Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers

DEN

Away

Colorado Rockies

at
MIL

Home

Milwaukee Brewers

American Family FieldStatvane matchup

Qualified angleMixed evidenceDeterministic fallback

StatVane Editorial: Over Preferred for Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers

Market
Total
Selection
Over 8.5
Frozen price
-135 · espnbet
Model
64.3%
No-vig market
55.3%
EV / unit
+0.1201

The deterministic qualified angle is Over total from the frozen pregame snapshot.

The deterministic decision is QUALIFIED. Total selection: Over 8.5. Frozen price: -135 at espnbet; retrieved 2026-07-25T18:09:34.955Z. Model probability: 64.3%. No-vig market probability: 55.3%. Model edge versus the no-vig market: 9.1 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: 0.1201.

Colorado Rockies probable starter: Ryan Feltner. Milwaukee Brewers probable starter: Robert Gasser.

Colorado Rockies recent 10-game sample: 4.10 runs scored and 5.30 runs allowed per game. Milwaukee Brewers recent 10-game sample: 4.00 runs scored and 4.70 runs allowed per game.

Bullpen condition is not modeled yet - LineLab has no reliever-usage feed, so no bullpen claim is made.

Venue: American Family Field; roof: Retractable. Weather snapshot: 27.5 C, 8.5 km/h wind, cross wind (3B side), 0% precipitation probability.

Total selection: Over 8.5. Frozen price: -135 at espnbet; retrieved 2026-07-25T18:09:34.955Z.

Uncertainty and missing evidence

Over remains the deterministic qualified angle; outcomes remain uncertain.

Fact provenance

Frozen forecast 1bb913e5b970 · snapshot 2026-07-25T18:09:37.475Z · prompt mlb-game-editorial-v5-closed-plan · schema 3.

Odds snapshot 613f920e-b0e4-4431-b45d-268aeb78bcea · retrieved 2026-07-25T18:09:34.955Z · US-region quote — not Ontario-specific; Ontario lines at the same book may differ.

One complete game-specific analysis is public. A verified free account unlocks the other two immutable market projections without changing this published selection.Unlock all three markets
Official result

Game result and prediction grades

The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.

Final

Colorado Rockies
5
Milwaukee Brewers
8

Settled Jul 26, 5:51 AM ET · MLB Advanced Media

  • TotalWon

    Over 8.5

    Published price
    -135
    Sportsbook
    espnbet
    Model probability
    64.3%

    Graded against the official final score · Jul 26, 5:51 AM ET · source mlb-statsapi