Game Forecast · First Pitch 7:15 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets
StatVane Editorial: No Qualified Wager for Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets
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Los Angeles Dodgers
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New York Mets
Citi FieldStatvane matchup
StatVane Editorial: No Qualified Wager for Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets
- Market
- Moneyline
- Selection
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Frozen price
- -150 · espnbet
- Model
- 54.9%
- No-vig market
- 58.0%
- EV / unit
- -0.0844
NO BET: No market met the deterministic qualification requirements in the frozen pregame snapshot.
The deterministic decision is NO BET. Moneyline selection: Los Angeles Dodgers. Frozen price: -150 at espnbet; retrieved 2026-07-25T18:09:34.955Z. Model probability: 54.9%. No-vig market probability: 58.0%. Model edge versus the no-vig market: -3.0 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: -0.0844.
Los Angeles Dodgers probable starter: Yoshinobu Yamamoto. New York Mets probable starter: Nolan McLean.
Los Angeles Dodgers recent 10-game sample: 4.10 runs scored and 4.60 runs allowed per game. New York Mets recent 10-game sample: 2.70 runs scored and 3.70 runs allowed per game.
Bullpen condition is not modeled yet - LineLab has no reliever-usage feed, so no bullpen claim is made.
Venue: Citi Field; roof: Open. Weather snapshot: 23.7 C, 9.4 km/h wind, cross wind (3B side), 0% precipitation probability.
Moneyline selection: Los Angeles Dodgers. Frozen price: -150 at espnbet; retrieved 2026-07-25T18:09:34.955Z.
Uncertainty and missing evidence
The correct deterministic action is NO BET.
Fact provenance
Frozen forecast f3b2212e05d5 · snapshot 2026-07-25T18:09:37.475Z · prompt mlb-game-editorial-v5-closed-plan · schema 3.
Odds snapshot 702d6659-0442-4c4f-8aff-c3ca8becaeb5 · retrieved 2026-07-25T18:09:34.955Z · US-region quote — not Ontario-specific; Ontario lines at the same book may differ.
Game result and prediction grades
The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.
Final
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- 4
- New York Mets
- 3
Settled Jul 26, 5:51 AM ET · MLB Advanced Media
- MoneylineWon
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Published price
- -150
- Sportsbook
- espnbet
- Model probability
- 54.9%
Graded against the official final score · Jul 26, 5:51 AM ET · source mlb-statsapi