Game Forecast · First Pitch 2:10 PM ET
Athletics at Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
65.4% model probability
- Venue
- Target Field
- Away Probable
- Jeffrey Springs
- Home Probable
- Connor Prielipp
Game result and prediction grades
The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.
Final
- Athletics
- 8
- Minnesota Twins
- 11
Settled Jul 26, 7:08 PM ET · MLB Advanced Media
- MoneylineWIN
Minnesota Twins
- Published price
- -140
- Sportsbook
- espnbet
- Model probability
- 65.4%
Graded against the official final score · Jul 26, 7:08 PM ET · source mlb-statsapi
Statvane free prediction
Moneyline: Minnesota Twins at -140 (espnbet).
Price recorded: 2026-07-26T09:51:59.733Z. Region: us2.
Why this is the free angle
- Deterministic model probability: 65.4%.
- No-vig market probability: 56.2%.
- Expected value per unit at the frozen price: 0.1213.
This angle ranks the frozen probability, model-to-market edge, price value, and quote availability together. It is not a guarantee and can lose.
Model probability estimates the outcome. Statvane Confidence measures the quality and stability of the evidence. They are not the same thing.
Uncertainty
- No lineup had been posted for either side at publication.
Unlock the complete game
1 of 3 Statvane market predictions unlocked. Create a free account to unlock all three predictions for every game.