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Game Forecast · First Pitch 2:10 PM ET

Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox

StatVane Editorial: Over Preferred for Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox

HOU

Away

Houston Astros

at
CHI

Home

Chicago White Sox

Rate FieldStatvane matchup

Qualified angleMixed evidenceDeterministic fallback

StatVane Editorial: Over Preferred for Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox

Market
Total
Selection
Over 9.5
Frozen price
+100 · fanduel
Model
59.6%
No-vig market
47.6%
EV / unit
+0.1929

The deterministic qualified angle is Over total from the frozen pregame snapshot.

The deterministic decision is QUALIFIED. Total selection: Over 9.5. Frozen price: +100 at fanduel; retrieved 2026-07-26T09:51:59.733Z. Model probability: 59.6%. No-vig market probability: 47.6%. Model edge versus the no-vig market: 12.0 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: 0.1929.

Houston Astros probable starter: Ronel Blanco. Chicago White Sox probable starter: Erick Fedde.

Houston Astros recent 10-game sample: 5.00 runs scored and 4.30 runs allowed per game. Chicago White Sox recent 10-game sample: 5.80 runs scored and 3.10 runs allowed per game.

Bullpen condition is not modeled yet - LineLab has no reliever-usage feed, so no bullpen claim is made.

Venue: Rate Field; roof: Open. Weather snapshot: 30.6 C, 8.2 km/h wind, blowing in from CF, 0% precipitation probability.

Total selection: Over 9.5. Frozen price: +100 at fanduel; retrieved 2026-07-26T09:51:59.733Z.

Uncertainty and missing evidence

Over remains the deterministic qualified angle; outcomes remain uncertain.

Fact provenance

Frozen forecast 5b2d53bc3301 · snapshot 2026-07-26T09:52:02.277Z · prompt mlb-game-editorial-v5-closed-plan · schema 3.

Odds snapshot c749dc01-91a7-4c83-9760-c864077e39b9 · retrieved 2026-07-26T09:51:59.733Z · US-region quote — not Ontario-specific; Ontario lines at the same book may differ.

One complete game-specific analysis is public. A verified free account unlocks the other two immutable market projections without changing this published selection.Unlock all three markets
Official result

Game result and prediction grades

The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.

Final

Houston Astros
3
Chicago White Sox
12

Settled Jul 26, 7:08 PM ET · MLB Advanced Media

  • TotalWon

    Over 9.5

    Published price
    +100
    Sportsbook
    fanduel
    Model probability
    59.6%

    Graded against the official final score · Jul 26, 7:08 PM ET · source mlb-statsapi