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Game Forecast · First Pitch 4:05 PM ET

Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants

StatVane Editorial: Under Preferred for Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants

LA

Away

Los Angeles Angels

at
SF

Home

San Francisco Giants

Oracle ParkStatvane matchup

Qualified angleMixed evidenceDeterministic fallback

StatVane Editorial: Under Preferred for Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants

Market
Total
Selection
Under 8
Frozen price
-110 · betmgm
Model
55.0%
No-vig market
50.0%
EV / unit
+0.0501

The deterministic qualified angle is Under total from the frozen pregame snapshot.

The deterministic decision is QUALIFIED. Total selection: Under 8. Frozen price: -110 at betmgm; retrieved 2026-07-26T09:51:59.733Z. Model probability: 55.0%. No-vig market probability: 50.0%. Model edge versus the no-vig market: 5.0 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: 0.0501.

Los Angeles Angels probable starter: José Soriano. San Francisco Giants probable starter: Carson Whisenhunt.

Los Angeles Angels recent 10-game sample: 2.70 runs scored and 3.40 runs allowed per game. San Francisco Giants recent 10-game sample: 3.90 runs scored and 3.50 runs allowed per game.

Bullpen condition is not modeled yet - LineLab has no reliever-usage feed, so no bullpen claim is made.

Venue: Oracle Park; roof: Open. Weather snapshot: 19.1 C, 28.4 km/h wind, blowing out to CF, 0% precipitation probability.

Total selection: Under 8. Frozen price: -110 at betmgm; retrieved 2026-07-26T09:51:59.733Z.

Uncertainty and missing evidence

Under remains the deterministic qualified angle; outcomes remain uncertain.

Fact provenance

Frozen forecast 820ba4361e7d · snapshot 2026-07-26T09:52:02.277Z · prompt mlb-game-editorial-v5-closed-plan · schema 3.

Odds snapshot 777b49d3-fccb-4782-a0dc-b4d819dabd57 · retrieved 2026-07-26T09:51:59.733Z · US-region quote — not Ontario-specific; Ontario lines at the same book may differ.

One complete game-specific analysis is public. A verified free account unlocks the other two immutable market projections without changing this published selection.Unlock all three markets
Official result

Game result and prediction grades

The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.

Final

Los Angeles Angels
4
San Francisco Giants
3

Settled Jul 26, 7:08 PM ET · MLB Advanced Media

  • TotalWon

    Under 8

    Published price
    -110
    Sportsbook
    betmgm
    Model probability
    55.0%

    Graded against the official final score · Jul 26, 7:08 PM ET · source mlb-statsapi