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Game Forecast · First Pitch 9:45 PM ET

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants

StatVane Editorial: Over Preferred for Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants

MIL

Away

Milwaukee Brewers

at
SF

Home

San Francisco Giants

Oracle ParkStatvane matchup

Qualified angleMixed evidenceDeterministic fallback

StatVane Editorial: Over Preferred for Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants

Market
Total
Selection
Over 8.5
Frozen price
-105 · draftkings
Model
63.9%
No-vig market
48.9%
EV / unit
+0.2475

The deterministic qualified angle is Over total from the frozen pregame snapshot.

The deterministic decision is QUALIFIED. Total selection: Over 8.5. Frozen price: -105 at draftkings; retrieved 2026-07-27T11:42:26.971Z. Model probability: 63.9%. No-vig market probability: 48.9%. Model edge versus the no-vig market: 15.0 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: 0.2475.

Milwaukee Brewers probable starter: Brandon Sproat. San Francisco Giants probable starter: Tyler Mahle.

Milwaukee Brewers recent 10-game sample: 4.00 runs scored and 4.70 runs allowed per game. San Francisco Giants recent 10-game sample: 3.90 runs scored and 3.50 runs allowed per game.

Bullpen condition is not modeled yet - Statvane has no reliever-usage feed, so no bullpen claim is made.

Venue: Oracle Park; roof: Open. Weather snapshot: 17.9 C, 32.1 km/h wind, blowing out to CF, 0% precipitation probability.

Total selection: Over 8.5. Frozen price: -105 at draftkings; retrieved 2026-07-27T11:42:26.971Z.

Uncertainty and missing evidence

Over remains the deterministic qualified angle; outcomes remain uncertain.

Fact provenance

Frozen forecast 99f5bf036d48 · snapshot 2026-07-27T14:56:27.855Z · prompt mlb-game-editorial-v5-closed-plan · schema 3.

Odds snapshot 81cb12c6-6463-435b-81c1-4cddcb2d7628 · retrieved 2026-07-27T11:42:26.971Z · US-region quote — not Ontario-specific; Ontario lines at the same book may differ.

One complete game-specific analysis is public. A verified free account unlocks the other two immutable market projections without changing this published selection.Unlock all three markets
Official result

Game result and prediction grades

The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.

Final

Milwaukee Brewers
0
San Francisco Giants
3

Settled Jul 28, 1:00 AM ET · MLB Advanced Media

  • TotalLost

    Over 8.5

    Published price
    -105
    Sportsbook
    draftkings
    Model probability
    63.9%

    Graded against the official final score · Jul 28, 1:00 AM ET · source mlb-statsapi

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants Prediction (2026-07-27) | Statvane · Statvane