Game Forecast · First Pitch 7:40 PM ET
New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
StatVane Editorial: No Qualified Wager for New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
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New York Yankees
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Chicago White Sox
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StatVane Editorial: No Qualified Wager for New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
- Market
- Moneyline
- Selection
- New York Yankees
- Frozen price
- -145 · espnbet
- Model
- 58.3%
- No-vig market
- 57.1%
- EV / unit
- -0.0155
NO BET: No market met the deterministic qualification requirements in the frozen pregame snapshot.
The deterministic decision is NO BET. Moneyline selection: New York Yankees. Frozen price: -145 at espnbet; retrieved 2026-07-27T11:42:26.971Z. Model probability: 58.3%. No-vig market probability: 57.1%. Model edge versus the no-vig market: 1.2 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: -0.0155.
New York Yankees probable starter: Max Fried. Chicago White Sox probable starter: Noah Schultz.
New York Yankees recent 10-game sample: 3.30 runs scored and 2.90 runs allowed per game. Chicago White Sox recent 10-game sample: 5.80 runs scored and 3.10 runs allowed per game.
Bullpen condition is not modeled yet - Statvane has no reliever-usage feed, so no bullpen claim is made.
Venue: Rate Field; roof: Open. Weather snapshot: 22.7 C, 25.2 km/h wind, blowing in from CF, 10% precipitation probability.
Moneyline selection: New York Yankees. Frozen price: -145 at espnbet; retrieved 2026-07-27T11:42:26.971Z.
Uncertainty and missing evidence
The correct deterministic action is NO BET.
Fact provenance
Frozen forecast 44098b187903 · snapshot 2026-07-27T14:56:27.855Z · prompt mlb-game-editorial-v5-closed-plan · schema 3.
Odds snapshot 25ef8e7b-defb-40b6-b70c-15242600fbdb · retrieved 2026-07-27T11:42:26.971Z · US-region quote — not Ontario-specific; Ontario lines at the same book may differ.
Game result and prediction grades
The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.
Final
- New York Yankees
- 9
- Chicago White Sox
- 5
Settled Jul 28, 1:00 AM ET · MLB Advanced Media
- MoneylineWon
New York Yankees
- Published price
- -145
- Sportsbook
- espnbet
- Model probability
- 58.3%
Graded against the official final score · Jul 28, 1:00 AM ET · source mlb-statsapi