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Game Forecast · First Pitch 9:45 PM ET

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants

StatVane Editorial: Under Preferred for Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants

MIL

Away

Milwaukee Brewers

at
SF

Home

San Francisco Giants

Oracle ParkStatvane matchup

Qualified angleMixed evidenceGrounded analysis

StatVane Editorial: Under Preferred for Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants

Market
Total
Selection
Under 7.5
Frozen price
-105 · fanduel
Model
54.0%
No-vig market
48.9%
EV / unit
+0.0536

The deterministic qualified angle is Under total from the frozen pregame snapshot.

The deterministic selection is supported by the frozen pregame record. Total selection: Under 7.5. Frozen price: -105 at fanduel; retrieved 2026-07-28T06:00:28.948Z. Model probability: 54.0%. No-vig market probability: 48.9%. Model edge versus the no-vig market: 5.0 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: 0.0536. Milwaukee Brewers probable starter: Logan Henderson. San Francisco Giants probable starter: Landen Roupp. Milwaukee Brewers recent 10-game sample: 4.00 runs scored and 4.70 runs allowed per game. San Francisco Giants recent 10-game sample: 3.90 runs scored and 3.50 runs allowed per game.

Uncertainty and missing evidence

The deterministic qualified position remains Under; outcomes remain uncertain. The deterministic decision is QUALIFIED. Total selection: Under 7.5. Frozen price: -105 at fanduel; retrieved 2026-07-28T06:00:28.948Z. Model edge versus the no-vig market: 5.0 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: 0.0536. Model probability: 54.0%. No-vig market probability: 48.9%.

Fact provenance

Frozen forecast c61cd9511d52 · snapshot 2026-07-28T09:00:52.658Z · prompt mlb-game-editorial-v5-closed-plan · schema 3.

Odds snapshot 27c3648e-c383-48ae-a232-935318086898 · retrieved 2026-07-28T06:00:28.948Z · US-region quote — not Ontario-specific; Ontario lines at the same book may differ.

One complete game-specific analysis is public. A verified free account unlocks the other two immutable market projections without changing this published selection.Unlock all three markets
Official result

Game result and prediction grades

The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.

Final

Milwaukee Brewers
8
San Francisco Giants
2

Settled Jul 29, 1:00 AM ET · MLB Advanced Media

  • TotalLost

    Under 7.5

    Published price
    -105
    Sportsbook
    fanduel
    Model probability
    54.0%

    Graded against the official final score · Jul 29, 1:00 AM ET · source mlb-statsapi