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Game Forecast · First Pitch 4:10 PM ET

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

StatVane Editorial: No Qualified Wager for Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

ATL

Away

Atlanta Braves

at
MIA

Home

Miami Marlins

loanDepot parkStatvane matchup

No betMixed evidenceDeterministic fallback

StatVane Editorial: No Qualified Wager for Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

Market
Total
Selection
Over 8.5
Frozen price
-114 · fanduel
Model
66.8%
No-vig market
50.9%
EV / unit
+0.2542

NO BET: No market met the deterministic qualification requirements in the frozen pregame snapshot.

The deterministic decision is NO BET. Total selection: Over 8.5. Frozen price: -114 at fanduel; retrieved 2026-09-26T12:00:52.918Z. Model probability: 66.8%. No-vig market probability: 50.9%. Model edge versus the no-vig market: 15.9 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: 0.2542.

Atlanta Braves probable starter: Brent Suter. Miami Marlins probable starter: Jack Ralston.

Atlanta Braves recent 10-game sample: 6.00 runs scored and 4.70 runs allowed per game. Miami Marlins recent 10-game sample: 2.50 runs scored and 4.70 runs allowed per game.

Bullpen condition is not modeled yet - Statvane has no reliever-usage feed, so no bullpen claim is made.

Venue: loanDepot park; roof: Retractable. Weather snapshot: 25.3 C, 11.4 km/h wind, blowing out to CF, 11% precipitation probability.

Total selection: Over 8.5. Frozen price: -114 at fanduel; retrieved 2026-09-26T12:00:52.918Z.

Uncertainty and missing evidence

The correct deterministic action is NO BET.

Fact provenance

Frozen forecast aa4da6f1539b · snapshot 2026-09-26T12:00:58.766Z · prompt mlb-game-editorial-v5-closed-plan · schema 3.

Odds snapshot 3fd1b2b6-a2a4-4a6a-99dd-0e9d88b06868 · retrieved 2026-09-26T12:00:52.918Z · US-region quote — not Ontario-specific; Ontario lines at the same book may differ.

One complete game-specific analysis is public. A verified free account unlocks the other two immutable market projections without changing this published selection.Unlock all three markets
Official result

Game result and prediction grades

The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.

Final

Atlanta Braves
8
Miami Marlins
3

Settled Sep 26, 7:00 PM ET · MLB Advanced Media

  • TotalWon

    Over 8.5

    Published price
    -114
    Sportsbook
    fanduel
    Model probability
    66.8%

    Graded against the official final score · Sep 26, 7:00 PM ET · source mlb-statsapi