Game Forecast · First Pitch 7:10 PM ET

Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals

StatVane Editorial: No Qualified Wager for Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals

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Cleveland Guardians

at11:10 p.m.

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Kansas City Royals

Kauffman StadiumStatvane matchup

No betMixed evidenceDeterministic fallback

StatVane Editorial: No Qualified Wager for Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals

Market: Moneyline
Selection: Kansas City Royals
Frozen price: +110 · espnbet
Model: 57.3%
No-vig market: 45.7%
EV / unit: +0.2037

NO BET: No market met the deterministic qualification requirements in the frozen pregame snapshot.

The deterministic decision is NO BET. Moneyline selection: Kansas City Royals. Frozen price: +110 at espnbet; retrieved 2026-09-26T12:00:52.918Z. Model probability: 57.3%. No-vig market probability: 45.7%. Model edge versus the no-vig market: 11.6 percentage points. Expected value per unit at the frozen price: 0.2037.

Cleveland Guardians probable starter: Tanner Bibee. Kansas City Royals probable starter: Michael Wacha.

Cleveland Guardians recent 10-game sample: 4.40 runs scored and 5.00 runs allowed per game. Kansas City Royals recent 10-game sample: 3.40 runs scored and 5.50 runs allowed per game.

Bullpen condition is not modeled yet - Statvane has no reliever-usage feed, so no bullpen claim is made.

Venue: Kauffman Stadium; roof: Open. Weather snapshot: 21.4 C, 11.3 km/h wind, cross wind (3B side), 29% precipitation probability.

Moneyline selection: Kansas City Royals. Frozen price: +110 at espnbet; retrieved 2026-09-26T12:00:52.918Z.

Uncertainty and missing evidence

The correct deterministic action is NO BET.

Fact provenance

Frozen forecast 39dea133fa54 · snapshot 2026-09-26T12:00:58.766Z · prompt mlb-game-editorial-v5-closed-plan · schema 3.

Odds snapshot e7991125-ece7-49d4-bbf5-aabf1d297b79 · retrieved 2026-09-26T12:00:52.918Z · US-region quote — not Ontario-specific; Ontario lines at the same book may differ.

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Official result

Game result and prediction grades

The result of the game and the result of each prediction are separate facts. Both are shown; neither is inferred from the other.

Live · inning 7

Cleveland Guardians: 7
Kansas City Royals: 3

Published markets for this game have not been settled yet.